CALL BEARER
I'm no expert, (Yeah, yeah, but I haven't shut off the comments so do your worst) but I get the feeling the pundits have been spending far too much time debating specific seats, and not enough time on the general mood of the electorate.
With that in mind; the AGB tip in three part disharmony ...
1) Newspoll seems to have had the best recent track record and they've detected a slight late swing back to Labor.
2) Far less scientific is that I was the only Liberal voter, usually there are ... well, at least two, in the queue at my local safe Labor booth in Tannerville.
3) My often accurate, but hitherto stupidly ignored gut reactions.
Which leaves us with a prediction that a healthy general swing to Labor in enough seats will be large enough to swamp the Coalition's precise targetting of selected marginals, so that Labor comfortably wins the election.
Should Labor indeed get up, my only two wishes are one, that Susan fuckin' Davies doesn't, and two, that the instant he turns 75, Kerry Packer rocks up to Royal North Shore and demands a new, free heart.
The polls are predicting a narrow Howard win.Probably win it on his 'outstanding' domestic pledges rather than Iraq.
Posted by: Brett Pee | 09 October 2004 at 18:46
Seeing Kerry Packer demand his free heart would almost make a Latham win worthwhile.
Posted by: Emily | 09 October 2004 at 19:01
Stop making predictions - please.
Posted by: Adam 1.0 | 09 October 2004 at 21:45
Susan Davis lost big time!!! Thats the end of her political aspirations. Cow. By the way Tony, how were you so wrong?
Posted by: Patrick | 09 October 2004 at 23:55
Susan Davis lost! This day just gets better and better and it's not just because of the hangover receding.
Posted by: slatts | 10 October 2004 at 12:20
In the interest of fairness and diversity I vow to keep making bold wrong predictions.
Thank you.
PS: Susan Davies is O.U.T. out. Ha!
Posted by: Tony.T | 10 October 2004 at 13:34